Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.4% vs Colton 48.5% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 64.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 53.1%
Neutral zone
Colton 52.3%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 64.8%
35.2%
64.8%
Larkin
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Larkin
Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
1
Larkin
Colton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (878)
45.5% (88)
+6.2%
Power Play
58.5% (246)
71.4% (7)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (166)
0.0% (1)
+48.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +48.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Larkin is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Larkin shoots left. Colton is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (57).
Home / Away
Larkin
Colton
Home
52.4% (647)
44.7% (47)
Away
52.7% (643)
49.0% (49)
By Period
Larkin
Colton
P1
52.2%
52.8%
P2
53.1%
47.1%
P3
51.7%
38.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 05:57 | Offensive | Ross Colton |