Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Colton 51.4% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 62.0%
Defensive zone
Colton 64.5%
Neutral zone
Colton 55.8%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Larkin
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Larkin
Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Colton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
1
Larkin
Colton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
52.1% (741)
+3.8%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
48.3% (60)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
42.1% (19)
+4.1%
On power play, Larkin has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Larkin shoots left. Colton is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (551).
Home / Away
Larkin
Colton
Home
56.0% (654)
54.0% (411)
Away
54.8% (639)
49.1% (409)
By Period
Larkin
Colton
P1
54.4%
56.7%
P2
55.9%
53.1%
P3
55.2%
46.3%
OT
64.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 10:59 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 17:50 | Defensive | Ross Colton |