Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.7% vs 53.4%). Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 25 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Johansen 53.3% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 52-36 in 88 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 56.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 50.1%
Neutral zone
Johansen 54.2%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Larkin
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
52
-
36
(88 meetings)
52
36
Larkin
Johansen
Last 10: Larkin 7-3 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
19
17
Larkin
Johansen
36 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
17
8
Larkin
Johansen
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
16
11
Larkin
Johansen
27 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
53.1% (11,017)
-1.4%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
56.2% (2,163)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
50.5% (978)
-0.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,416).
Larkin shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Larkin
Johansen
Home
54.0% (6,238)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Larkin
Johansen
P1
52.7%
53.2%
P2
53.1%
53.9%
P3
52.1%
52.8%
OT
58.4%
58.2%
Final 5 min
53.2%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 19:53 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 16:31 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 11:07 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 11:00 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 02:09 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 15:45 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 02:26 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 17:28 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 08:12 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 07:48 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 19:13 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 19:03 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 16:20 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 16:12 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 14:02 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 11:53 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 07:02 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 03:31 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |