Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 52.6%). Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Johansen 52.4% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 53.1%
Defensive zone
Larkin 50.4%
Neutral zone
Johansen 51.8%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Larkin
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Larkin
Johansen
Last 10: Larkin 5-5 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
2
Larkin
Johansen
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
3
Larkin
Johansen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Larkin
Johansen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
49.4% (1,010)
+2.4%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
62.3% (236)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
67.2% (67)
-19.8%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Larkin is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Larkin shoots left. Johansen is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Larkin
Johansen
Home
55.6% (662)
54.7% (655)
Away
48.3% (542)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Larkin
Johansen
P1
49.9%
52.2%
P2
52.7%
50.7%
P3
53.0%
54.8%
OT
68.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
49.3%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 16:20 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 16:12 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 14:02 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 11:53 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 07:02 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 03:31 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 19:25 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 00:11 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |