Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Larkin wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Johansen 53.3% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 57.7%
Defensive zone
Larkin 70.0%
Neutral zone
Larkin 58.3%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Larkin
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
6
(17 meetings)
11
6
Larkin
Johansen
Last 10: Larkin 8-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
3
Larkin
Johansen
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
5
0
Larkin
Johansen
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
3
Larkin
Johansen
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (1,228)
54.7% (1,149)
-1.8%
Power Play
63.1% (214)
49.7% (191)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
55.2% (145)
47.9% (121)
+7.3%
On power play, Larkin has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Larkin is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (502).
Larkin shoots left. Johansen is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Home / Away
Larkin
Johansen
Home
55.8% (805)
52.5% (739)
Away
53.2% (782)
54.6% (722)
By Period
Larkin
Johansen
P1
55.2%
53.8%
P2
53.3%
55.8%
P3
55.1%
51.2%
OT
51.7%
52.4%
Final 5 min
56.1%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2019 | 3 | 16:42 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 3 | 14:34 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 1 | 17:13 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 1 | 11:06 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 1 | 08:34 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 1 | 02:51 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 1 | 00:07 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 4, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 3 | 11:48 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 3 | 06:16 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 2 | 18:34 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 2 | 07:31 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 2 | 03:01 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 1 | 13:25 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 1 | 10:14 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |