Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.6% vs 53.5%). Larkin wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.4% vs Couturier 53.2% (-0.9%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 66.9%
Defensive zone
Couturier 63.9%
Neutral zone
Larkin 56.5%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Larkin
Couturier
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (878)
53.4% (758)
-1.7%
Power Play
58.5% (246)
62.9% (70)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (166)
50.7% (227)
-2.5%
On power play, Couturier has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Larkin is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Larkin shoots left. Couturier is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (680).
Home / Away
Larkin
Couturier
Home
52.4% (647)
50.7% (517)
Away
52.7% (643)
56.1% (538)
By Period
Larkin
Couturier
P1
52.2%
55.2%
P2
53.1%
53.0%
P3
51.7%
53.3%
OT
61.3%
42.4%
Final 5 min
55.2%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%