Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Boyd 45.8% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 91.7%
Defensive zone
Larkin 71.5%
Neutral zone
Larkin 89.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 81.7%
81.7%
18.3%
Larkin
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Larkin
Boyd
Last 9: Larkin 7-2 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Boyd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
1
Larkin
Boyd
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
1
Larkin
Boyd
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
45.9% (784)
+5.9%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
43.2% (81)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
40.3% (62)
+7.1%
On power play, Larkin has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Larkin is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Larkin shoots left. Boyd is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Home / Away
Larkin
Boyd
Home
55.6% (662)
45.1% (501)
Away
48.3% (542)
45.5% (426)
By Period
Larkin
Boyd
P1
49.9%
45.9%
P2
52.7%
44.6%
P3
53.0%
45.8%
OT
68.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.3%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 00:41 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 19:27 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 13:30 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 09:32 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 09:24 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 00:30 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 19:27 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 07:17 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 05:08 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |