Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyd on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Boyd 43.9% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyd 58.9%
Defensive zone
Boyd 64.1%
Neutral zone
Boyd 69.0%
Result
Travis Boyd favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Larkin
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Larkin
Boyd
Last 9: Larkin 3-6 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
1
4
Larkin
Boyd
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
1
2
Larkin
Boyd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Boyd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
43.4% (893)
+10.2%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
51.5% (136)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
34.6% (127)
+14.1%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Larkin is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Larkin shoots left. Boyd is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
Larkin
Boyd
Home
56.6% (700)
46.0% (570)
Away
52.1% (655)
41.0% (586)
By Period
Larkin
Boyd
P1
55.4%
38.9%
P2
54.7%
50.4%
P3
52.7%
41.1%
OT
59.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 05:49 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 08:30 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 06:53 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 15:27 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 15:13 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 12:05 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 15:49 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 09:00 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |