Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyd on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Boyd 44.1% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Boyd leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 53.1%
Defensive zone
Boyd 56.2%
Neutral zone
Boyd 57.3%
Result
Travis Boyd favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Larkin
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
13
(24 meetings)
11
13
Larkin
Boyd
Last 10: Larkin 3-7 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
2
6
Larkin
Boyd
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
4
6
Larkin
Boyd
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
5
1
Larkin
Boyd
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
44.4% (2,186)
+7.3%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
46.5% (256)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
35.6% (208)
+14.6%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,416).
Larkin shoots left. Boyd is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,838).
Home / Away
Larkin
Boyd
Home
54.0% (6,238)
46.3% (1,327)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
41.5% (1,324)
By Period
Larkin
Boyd
P1
52.7%
41.7%
P2
53.1%
46.2%
P3
52.1%
44.0%
OT
58.4%
22.2%
Final 5 min
53.2%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 05:49 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 08:30 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 06:53 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 15:27 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 15:13 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 12:05 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 15:49 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 09:00 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 00:41 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 19:27 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 13:30 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 09:32 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 09:24 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 00:30 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 19:27 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 07:17 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 05:08 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 3 | 11:50 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 05:56 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |