Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bertuzzi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Bertuzzi 49.0% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 54.7%
Defensive zone
Larkin 84.3%
Neutral zone
Larkin 62.9%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 84.3%
84.3%
15.7%
Larkin
Bertuzzi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Larkin
Bertuzzi
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Bertuzzi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Bertuzzi
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
46.8% (47)
+5.8%
On even strength, Larkin has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bertuzzi shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Larkin shoots left. Bertuzzi is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (26).
Home / Away
Larkin
Bertuzzi
Home
54.7% (783)
58.3% (24)
Away
54.3% (816)
34.8% (23)
By Period
Larkin
Bertuzzi
P1
55.9%
58.8%
P2
56.1%
50.0%
P3
51.1%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
87.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Bertuzzi
46.0%▲
41.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 03:09 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |