Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Nylander 47.2% (+12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nylander 63.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 60.7%
Neutral zone
Nylander 55.6%
Result
William Nylander favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Larkin
Nylander
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Larkin
Nylander
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nylander
0
1
Larkin
Nylander
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
46.0% (50)
+7.6%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
33.3% (6)
+26.0%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
0.0% (3)
+48.7%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +48.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Larkin is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Larkin shoots left. Nylander is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (40).
Home / Away
Larkin
Nylander
Home
56.6% (700)
40.6% (32)
Away
52.1% (655)
44.4% (27)
By Period
Larkin
Nylander
P1
55.4%
50.0%
P2
54.7%
40.7%
P3
52.7%
35.7%
OT
59.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Nylander
34.0%▼
44.0%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 11:10 | Offensive | William Nylander |