Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Nylander 49.8% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nylander 76.2%
Defensive zone
Nylander 57.7%
Neutral zone
Nylander 66.2%
Result
William Nylander favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Larkin
Nylander
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Larkin
Nylander
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nylander
0
1
Larkin
Nylander
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nylander
0
1
Larkin
Nylander
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
48.9% (133)
+3.7%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
55.0% (20)
+5.7%
On power play, Larkin has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Larkin is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (567).
Larkin shoots left. Nylander is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Larkin
Nylander
Home
54.7% (783)
48.6% (105)
Away
54.3% (816)
52.1% (48)
By Period
Larkin
Nylander
P1
55.9%
52.1%
P2
56.1%
46.3%
P3
51.1%
50.0%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Nylander
34.0%▼
44.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 05:42 | Neutral | William Nylander |