Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Nylander shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Nylander 48.4% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nylander 76.4%
Defensive zone
Larkin 60.5%
Neutral zone
Nylander 62.6%
Result
William Nylander favored at 76.4%
23.6%
76.4%
Larkin
Nylander
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Larkin
Nylander
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nylander
0
1
Larkin
Nylander
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
46.0% (100)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
52.6% (19)
-6.4%
On even strength, Larkin has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Larkin is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Larkin shoots left. Nylander is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (89).
Home / Away
Larkin
Nylander
Home
56.0% (654)
53.6% (69)
Away
54.8% (639)
38.0% (50)
By Period
Larkin
Nylander
P1
54.4%
51.5%
P2
55.9%
37.5%
P3
55.2%
55.3%
Final 5 min
53.8%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Nylander
34.0%▼
44.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 11:22 | Offensive | William Nylander |