Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 49.5% vs Strome 47.6% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 53.4%
Defensive zone
Larkin 77.2%
Neutral zone
Larkin 66.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Larkin
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Larkin
Strome
Last 9: Larkin 6-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Larkin
Strome
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
2
Larkin
Strome
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (562)
46.5% (310)
+3.0%
Power Play
51.5% (134)
49.1% (110)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (34)
0.0% (1)
+41.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +41.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Larkin is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Larkin shoots left. Strome is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Home / Away
Larkin
Strome
Home
48.5% (388)
46.3% (216)
Away
50.6% (342)
47.8% (205)
By Period
Larkin
Strome
P1
52.1%
48.5%
P2
46.9%
50.7%
P3
49.2%
41.5%
OT
55.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
49.5%
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2021 | 1 | 18:29 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 3 | 09:31 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 3 | 05:49 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 1 | 07:57 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 1 | 04:42 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 3 | 08:13 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 2 | 18:36 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 2 | 12:39 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 1 | 18:01 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |