Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 53.7%). Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Larkin wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Strome shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Strome 53.4% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 12-3 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 68.1%
Defensive zone
Larkin 91.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 65.8%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 75.1%
75.1%
24.9%
Larkin
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
3
(15 meetings)
12
3
Larkin
Strome
Last 10: Larkin 8-2 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
2
Larkin
Strome
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
8
0
Larkin
Strome
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
1
Larkin
Strome
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
52.6% (968)
+0.0%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
56.9% (311)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (177)
62.5% (8)
-6.6%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Larkin shoots left. Strome is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Larkin
Strome
Home
54.7% (783)
53.4% (653)
Away
54.3% (816)
53.9% (634)
By Period
Larkin
Strome
P1
55.9%
49.3%
P2
56.1%
54.6%
P3
51.1%
56.7%
OT
66.7%
62.5%
Final 5 min
51.8%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 06:59 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 11:58 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 09:05 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 06:13 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 18:32 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 03:07 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 16:32 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 12:46 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 04:14 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 03:47 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 14:56 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 03:19 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |