Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 52.5%). Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 52.1% vs Pavelski 52.2% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 71.3%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 59.8%
Neutral zone
Strome 53.4%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Strome
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Strome
Pavelski
Last 7: Strome 3-4 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
1
Strome
Pavelski
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
2
Strome
Pavelski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Strome
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (684)
52.5% (570)
-1.9%
Power Play
58.9% (192)
54.5% (145)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
44.4% (36)
-11.1%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Strome is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (299).
Strome shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Strome
Pavelski
Home
51.3% (448)
55.0% (391)
Away
53.4% (431)
49.7% (360)
By Period
Strome
Pavelski
P1
51.4%
50.8%
P2
54.6%
55.0%
P3
50.7%
52.0%
OT
66.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
52.3%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 07:14 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 07:01 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 01:21 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 15:37 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 15:13 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 3 | 18:57 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |