Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Strome wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 48.9% vs Pavelski 53.0% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 54.6%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 79.7%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 64.7%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 64.7%
35.3%
64.7%
Strome
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Strome
Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (894)
52.3% (560)
-4.0%
Power Play
50.5% (182)
57.5% (113)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
62.5% (16)
+4.2%
On power play, Pavelski has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Strome is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Strome shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Home / Away
Strome
Pavelski
Home
46.4% (513)
54.2% (360)
Away
51.0% (569)
52.6% (329)
By Period
Strome
Pavelski
P1
44.9%
54.5%
P2
50.8%
56.7%
P3
49.7%
50.8%
OT
77.8%
30.8%
Final 5 min
49.6%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
48.8%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 17:46 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |