Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 48.9% vs Toews 61.9% (-14.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 54.7%
Defensive zone
Toews 87.1%
Neutral zone
Toews 69.1%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 72.2%
27.8%
72.2%
Strome
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Strome
Toews
Last 7: Strome 4-3 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Toews
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
2
Strome
Toews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
3
1
Strome
Toews
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (894)
61.1% (650)
-12.8%
Power Play
50.5% (182)
71.9% (192)
-21.4%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
59.6% (99)
+7.1%
On power play, Toews has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Strome is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Strome shoots left. Toews is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Strome
Toews
Home
46.4% (513)
64.8% (560)
Away
51.0% (569)
60.6% (381)
By Period
Strome
Toews
P1
44.9%
62.3%
P2
50.8%
63.9%
P3
49.7%
62.8%
OT
77.8%
70.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
48.8%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 06:19 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 03:04 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:18 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |