Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 51.6% vs Toews 57.9% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 80.0%
Defensive zone
Strome 55.1%
Neutral zone
Strome 66.4%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Strome
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Strome
Toews
Last 10: Strome 4-6 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
2
Strome
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
4
Strome
Toews
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
4
3
Strome
Toews
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (6,337)
57.2% (13,047)
-7.1%
Power Play
58.4% (1,519)
63.3% (3,252)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (68)
53.6% (1,810)
-8.0%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Strome is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Strome shoots left. Toews is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (11,653).
Home / Away
Strome
Toews
Home
51.1% (3,968)
59.7% (9,192)
Away
52.2% (3,956)
56.1% (8,948)
By Period
Strome
Toews
P1
50.4%
58.6%
P2
52.1%
57.8%
P3
52.3%
57.3%
OT
52.8%
58.9%
Final 5 min
52.3%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
51.6%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 03:17 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 16:18 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 05:25 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 10:31 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 06:19 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 03:04 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:18 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 3 | 06:20 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 3 | 04:16 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 3 | 18:27 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 2 | 11:38 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 2 | 07:50 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |