Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Strome wins 60.4% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 58.0% vs Toews 60.3% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 71.2%
Defensive zone
Toews 52.3%
Neutral zone
Strome 53.1%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Strome
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Strome
Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Strome
Toews
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Toews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Strome
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (856)
62.5% (696)
-6.3%
Power Play
66.4% (298)
59.6% (141)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
46.9% (32)
-5.2%
On power play, Strome has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Strome is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (808).
Strome shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Home / Away
Strome
Toews
Home
55.7% (627)
60.9% (435)
Away
62.2% (539)
62.0% (434)
By Period
Strome
Toews
P1
61.6%
59.8%
P2
54.5%
65.7%
P3
60.4%
58.8%
OT
50.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
58.7%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
61.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 03:17 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 16:18 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 05:25 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 10:31 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |