Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Strome wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 52.1% vs Hayes 43.8% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 74.5%
Defensive zone
Hayes 76.5%
Neutral zone
Hayes 55.1%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 64.3%
64.3%
35.7%
Strome
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Strome
Hayes
Last 5: Strome 2-3 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Strome
Hayes
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Strome
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (684)
42.7% (478)
+7.9%
Power Play
58.9% (192)
42.9% (98)
+16.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
45.2% (31)
-11.9%
On power play, Strome has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Strome is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (580).
Strome shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Home / Away
Strome
Hayes
Home
51.3% (448)
43.5% (232)
Away
53.4% (431)
42.4% (375)
By Period
Strome
Hayes
P1
51.4%
40.1%
P2
54.6%
44.8%
P3
50.7%
42.4%
OT
66.7%
80.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
52.3%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2022 | 2 | 16:57 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 25, 2022 | 2 | 11:16 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 16:55 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 16:46 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 09:45 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |