Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 52.6% vs Hayes 56.3% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 81.4%
Defensive zone
Hayes 72.6%
Neutral zone
Hayes 51.3%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Strome
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Strome
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
2
Strome
Hayes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
0
Strome
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,002)
56.6% (724)
-6.0%
Power Play
59.9% (299)
57.0% (79)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
65.7% (35)
-7.8%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Strome is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Strome shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Home / Away
Strome
Hayes
Home
51.9% (700)
58.0% (405)
Away
53.9% (620)
56.1% (433)
By Period
Strome
Hayes
P1
51.6%
54.7%
P2
53.0%
55.7%
P3
54.3%
60.2%
OT
44.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
52.8%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 09:00 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 09:19 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 08:42 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 03:26 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |