Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.4%). Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 48.9% vs Hayes 49.5% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 61.1%
Defensive zone
Hayes 55.8%
Neutral zone
Hayes 54.5%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Strome
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Strome
Hayes
Last 9: Strome 5-4 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
5
0
Strome
Hayes
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Strome
Hayes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
3
Strome
Hayes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (894)
48.5% (557)
-0.2%
Power Play
50.5% (182)
53.3% (107)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
58.3% (12)
+8.4%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Strome is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Strome shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Home / Away
Strome
Hayes
Home
46.4% (513)
50.8% (313)
Away
51.0% (569)
48.2% (363)
By Period
Strome
Hayes
P1
44.9%
52.3%
P2
50.8%
47.7%
P3
49.7%
48.4%
OT
77.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
48.8%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2022 | 3 | 15:26 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 3 | 02:48 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 15:03 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 05:02 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 02:51 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |