Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Strome wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 58.0% vs Bjugstad 49.1% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 83.3%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 85.6%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 64.3%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Strome
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Strome
Bjugstad
Last 5: Strome 2-3 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
0
Strome
Bjugstad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Strome
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Strome
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (856)
48.9% (280)
+7.3%
Power Play
66.4% (298)
50.0% (6)
+16.4%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
47.2% (36)
-5.5%
On power play, Strome has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Strome is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (358).
Strome shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Strome
Bjugstad
Home
55.7% (627)
48.4% (190)
Away
62.2% (539)
49.2% (132)
By Period
Strome
Bjugstad
P1
61.6%
41.7%
P2
54.5%
56.6%
P3
60.4%
48.7%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.6%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
58.7%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 17:06 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 09:34 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 06:04 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 18:58 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |