Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 51.6% vs Bjugstad 48.9% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 18-13 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 71.3%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 83.2%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 59.1%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Strome
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
18
(31 meetings)
13
18
Strome
Bjugstad
Last 10: Strome 4-6 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
9
4
Strome
Bjugstad
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
7
Strome
Bjugstad
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
3
7
Strome
Bjugstad
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (6,337)
48.6% (6,634)
+1.5%
Power Play
58.4% (1,519)
55.2% (829)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (68)
44.3% (614)
+1.3%
On power play, Strome has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Strome is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,655).
Strome shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,747).
Home / Away
Strome
Bjugstad
Home
51.1% (3,968)
49.8% (4,020)
Away
52.2% (3,956)
48.1% (4,057)
By Period
Strome
Bjugstad
P1
50.4%
49.0%
P2
52.1%
49.1%
P3
52.3%
48.4%
OT
52.8%
61.3%
Final 5 min
52.3%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
51.6%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 17:06 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 09:34 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 06:04 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 18:58 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 2 | 19:45 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 17:42 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 17:39 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 16:17 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 11:50 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 08:50 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 14:58 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 10:16 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 04:06 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 14:59 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 11:24 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 00:14 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 18:39 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |