Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Strome wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 52.6% vs Bjugstad 49.3% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 74.8%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 85.8%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 61.0%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Strome
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Strome
Bjugstad
Last 10: Strome 4-6 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
3
2
Strome
Bjugstad
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
4
Strome
Bjugstad
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
3
4
Strome
Bjugstad
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,002)
50.7% (906)
-0.1%
Power Play
59.9% (299)
48.1% (108)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
44.4% (239)
+13.5%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Strome is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (432).
Strome shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (906).
Home / Away
Strome
Bjugstad
Home
51.9% (700)
49.8% (643)
Away
53.9% (620)
48.7% (610)
By Period
Strome
Bjugstad
P1
51.6%
49.4%
P2
53.0%
50.5%
P3
54.3%
47.9%
OT
44.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
52.8%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 17:42 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 17:39 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 16:17 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 11:50 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 08:50 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 14:58 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 10:16 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 04:06 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 14:59 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 11:24 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 00:14 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 18:39 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 15:53 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 08:46 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |