Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Strome wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 48.9% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 81.0%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 86.4%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 56.2%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Strome
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Strome
Bjugstad
Last 8: Strome 3-5 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
3
2
Strome
Bjugstad
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Strome
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Strome
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (894)
49.4% (867)
-1.1%
Power Play
50.5% (182)
56.0% (25)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
40.7% (216)
+26.0%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Strome is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Strome shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Home / Away
Strome
Bjugstad
Home
46.4% (513)
46.5% (480)
Away
51.0% (569)
48.9% (628)
By Period
Strome
Bjugstad
P1
44.9%
48.7%
P2
50.8%
45.6%
P3
49.7%
49.1%
OT
77.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
48.8%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 11:16 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 08:56 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 12:02 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 04:48 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 19:49 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 15:48 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 10:23 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 00:30 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |