Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Strome wins 60.4% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 58.0% vs Paul 53.3% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 68.4%
Defensive zone
Paul 74.1%
Neutral zone
Paul 53.8%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Strome
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Strome
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Paul
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (856)
53.2% (327)
+3.0%
Power Play
66.4% (298)
61.4% (57)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
50.0% (32)
-8.3%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Strome is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (808).
Strome shoots left. Paul is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Strome
Paul
Home
55.7% (627)
54.6% (183)
Away
62.2% (539)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Strome
Paul
P1
61.6%
56.3%
P2
54.5%
54.8%
P3
60.4%
52.4%
OT
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
57.6%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
58.7%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 14:37 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 02:58 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 14:08 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 03:25 | Offensive | Nick Paul |