Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 52.6% vs Paul 53.9% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 81.3%
Defensive zone
Paul 50.5%
Neutral zone
Strome 61.1%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Strome
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Strome
Paul
Last 9: Strome 2-7 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Strome
Paul
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
5
Strome
Paul
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,002)
53.1% (710)
-2.5%
Power Play
59.9% (299)
57.3% (199)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
58.0% (69)
-0.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Strome is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Strome shoots left. Paul is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Strome
Paul
Home
51.9% (700)
56.0% (466)
Away
53.9% (620)
52.7% (512)
By Period
Strome
Paul
P1
51.6%
57.2%
P2
53.0%
54.9%
P3
54.3%
51.5%
OT
44.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.9%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
52.8%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 14:50 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 11:01 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 10:59 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 18:15 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 08:40 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 19:44 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 12:52 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 07:19 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 00:17 | Defensive | Nick Paul |