Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 48.9% vs Paul 53.4% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 65.8%
Defensive zone
Paul 84.7%
Neutral zone
Paul 64.4%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 68.8%
31.2%
68.8%
Strome
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Strome
Paul
Last 7: Strome 4-3 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Paul
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
3
0
Strome
Paul
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
3
Strome
Paul
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (894)
53.8% (753)
-5.5%
Power Play
50.5% (182)
58.9% (90)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
47.4% (78)
+19.3%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Strome is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Strome shoots left. Paul is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Strome
Paul
Home
46.4% (513)
54.2% (450)
Away
51.0% (569)
53.3% (471)
By Period
Strome
Paul
P1
44.9%
58.2%
P2
50.8%
50.6%
P3
49.7%
52.9%
OT
77.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
48.8%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 05:23 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 2 | 13:25 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 16:22 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 2 | 14:25 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 1 | 05:17 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 1 | 05:12 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |