Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 52.2%). Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 51.6% vs Paul 52.2% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 14-13 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 83.8%
Defensive zone
Paul 72.9%
Neutral zone
Paul 52.1%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Strome
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
14
(27 meetings)
13
14
Strome
Paul
Last 10: Strome 4-6 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
8
4
Strome
Paul
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
5
7
Strome
Paul
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
3
Strome
Paul
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (6,337)
52.5% (3,796)
-2.4%
Power Play
58.4% (1,519)
56.5% (480)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (68)
46.7% (574)
-1.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Strome is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Strome shoots left. Paul is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,067).
Home / Away
Strome
Paul
Home
51.1% (3,968)
52.7% (2,412)
Away
52.2% (3,956)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Strome
Paul
P1
50.4%
53.9%
P2
52.1%
51.0%
P3
52.3%
52.0%
OT
52.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
51.6%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 14:37 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 02:58 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 14:08 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 03:25 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 03:54 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 03:40 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 14:50 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 11:01 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 10:59 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 18:15 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 08:40 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 19:44 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 12:52 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 07:19 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 00:17 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 05:23 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 2 | 13:25 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 16:22 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 2 | 14:25 | Neutral | Nick Paul |