Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnston on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Strome wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 53.4% vs Johnston 51.0% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 86.0%
Defensive zone
Johnston 84.6%
Neutral zone
Johnston 60.9%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Strome
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Strome
Johnston
Last 9: Strome 3-6 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
3
0
Strome
Johnston
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
5
Strome
Johnston
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Strome
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (968)
52.6% (696)
+0.0%
Power Play
56.9% (311)
52.3% (88)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
42.4% (125)
+20.1%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Strome is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Strome shoots left. Johnston is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Home / Away
Strome
Johnston
Home
53.4% (653)
52.8% (458)
Away
53.9% (634)
49.4% (451)
By Period
Strome
Johnston
P1
49.3%
48.9%
P2
54.6%
52.3%
P3
56.7%
51.4%
OT
62.5%
70.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
53.7%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 08:26 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 08:14 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 02:43 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 19:58 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 19:54 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 09:05 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 1 | 08:10 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 04:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |