Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnston on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 58.0% vs Johnston 48.5% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 71.9%
Defensive zone
Johnston 79.7%
Neutral zone
Johnston 59.3%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Strome
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Strome
Johnston
Last 5: Strome 2-3 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
1
2
Strome
Johnston
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Johnston
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (856)
47.8% (623)
+8.4%
Power Play
66.4% (298)
50.8% (63)
+15.6%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
51.4% (35)
-9.7%
On power play, Strome has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Strome is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (358).
Strome shoots left. Johnston is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (535).
Home / Away
Strome
Johnston
Home
55.7% (627)
47.6% (351)
Away
62.2% (539)
48.9% (370)
By Period
Strome
Johnston
P1
61.6%
49.6%
P2
54.5%
47.3%
P3
60.4%
48.0%
OT
50.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
57.6%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
58.7%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 18:32 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 10:01 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 01:12 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 05:20 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 03:16 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |