Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnston on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 51.6% vs Johnston 49.1% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Johnston leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 73.8%
Defensive zone
Johnston 82.3%
Neutral zone
Johnston 57.4%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Strome
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Strome
Johnston
Last 10: Strome 4-6 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
5
2
Strome
Johnston
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
1
7
Strome
Johnston
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Strome
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (6,337)
49.3% (2,189)
+0.8%
Power Play
58.4% (1,519)
52.6% (173)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (68)
44.7% (237)
+0.9%
On power play, Strome has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Strome is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,655).
Strome shoots left. Johnston is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,967).
Home / Away
Strome
Johnston
Home
51.1% (3,968)
49.2% (1,319)
Away
52.2% (3,956)
49.0% (1,280)
By Period
Strome
Johnston
P1
50.4%
50.1%
P2
52.1%
48.3%
P3
52.3%
48.8%
OT
52.8%
51.6%
Final 5 min
52.3%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
51.6%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 18:32 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 10:01 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 01:12 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 05:20 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 03:16 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 08:26 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 08:14 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 02:43 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 19:58 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 19:54 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 09:05 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 1 | 08:10 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 04:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 13:19 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 16:16 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |