Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Luostarinen wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 41.1% vs Novak 46.5% (-4.0%)
Offensive zone
Novak 69.2%
Defensive zone
Luostarinen 76.3%
Neutral zone
Novak 50.6%
Result
Eetu Luostarinen favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Luostarinen
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (708)
43.2% (118)
-2.1%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
47.8% (23)
+2.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Luostarinen is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (531).
Luostarinen shoots left. Novak is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Novak
Home
38.8% (402)
50.7% (71)
Away
41.3% (400)
37.1% (70)
By Period
Luostarinen
Novak
P1
40.7%
44.7%
P2
42.9%
50.0%
P3
36.2%
38.9%
Final 5 min
38.2%
35.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
40.0%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.0%