Eetu Luostarinen vs Tommy Novak
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Eetu Luostarinen holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Novak on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Luostarinen wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 44.2% vs Novak 43.3% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 75.3%
Defensive zone
Luostarinen 60.2%
Neutral zone
Novak 56.8%
Result
Eetu Luostarinen favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Luostarinen
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Luostarinen
Novak
Last 5: Luostarinen 1-4 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
2
Luostarinen
Novak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Novak
1
2
Luostarinen
Novak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,748)
42.1% (1,539)
+2.6%
Power Play
41.7% (60)
51.9% (133)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (205)
50.0% (2)
-12.0%
On penalty kill, Novak has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Luostarinen is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,335).
Luostarinen shoots left. Novak is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,078).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Novak
Home
44.7% (1,006)
45.3% (814)
Away
43.1% (1,007)
40.6% (860)
By Period
Luostarinen
Novak
P1
43.4%
43.9%
P2
45.3%
42.8%
P3
43.0%
41.7%
OT
37.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
44.4%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
43.9%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 06:49 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 08:31 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 08:17 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 16:23 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 17:19 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |