Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Luostarinen wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 43.4% vs Gourde 49.7% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 54.0%
Defensive zone
Gourde 57.1%
Neutral zone
Gourde 54.8%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Luostarinen
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Luostarinen
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
1
0
Luostarinen
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Luostarinen
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (365)
49.1% (847)
-7.7%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
79.5% (44)
-32.8%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (38)
39.5% (81)
+5.2%
On power play, Gourde has a +32.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Luostarinen is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Luostarinen shoots left. Gourde is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Gourde
Home
41.5% (207)
50.1% (491)
Away
42.2% (211)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Luostarinen
Gourde
P1
38.2%
54.7%
P2
44.9%
45.0%
P3
42.9%
49.4%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.9%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
41.9%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 06:22 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 08:51 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |