Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Luostarinen wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 48.0% vs Gourde 49.7% (-4.4%)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 65.8%
Defensive zone
Gourde 68.7%
Neutral zone
Gourde 51.5%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Luostarinen
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (58)
51.2% (469)
-4.6%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
42.9% (21)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
37.5% (48)
-1.1%
On power play, Luostarinen has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Luostarinen is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (52).
Luostarinen shoots left. Gourde is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Gourde
Home
46.2% (39)
47.8% (301)
Away
44.1% (34)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Luostarinen
Gourde
P1
48.4%
47.3%
P2
41.7%
53.4%
P3
44.4%
48.6%
Final 5 min
37.5%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
45.2%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.6%