Scouting Report
Eetu Luostarinen holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Luostarinen wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 52.3% vs Gourde 48.0% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Luostarinen leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 74.1%
Defensive zone
Gourde 56.8%
Neutral zone
Luostarinen 63.0%
Result
Eetu Luostarinen favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Luostarinen
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Luostarinen
Gourde
Last 10: Luostarinen 6-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
3
Luostarinen
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
3
1
Luostarinen
Gourde
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
3
0
Luostarinen
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (153)
48.0% (914)
+5.6%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
54.2% (48)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
43.9% (123)
+16.1%
On penalty kill, Luostarinen has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Luostarinen is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Luostarinen shoots left. Gourde is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Gourde
Home
53.3% (92)
50.2% (512)
Away
54.0% (87)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Luostarinen
Gourde
P1
52.2%
50.0%
P2
49.1%
45.3%
P3
60.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
62.2%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.6%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 14:08 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 10:56 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 13:12 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 09:04 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 06:40 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 03:55 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 01:09 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 10:27 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 01:08 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 01:04 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |