Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cozens wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 46.1% vs Lindholm 52.7% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 78.8%
Defensive zone
Cozens 82.7%
Neutral zone
Cozens 79.9%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 81.1%
81.1%
18.9%
Cozens
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Cozens
Lindholm
Last 9: Cozens 2-7 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
1
Cozens
Lindholm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
3
Cozens
Lindholm
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
3
Cozens
Lindholm
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (746)
52.4% (1,156)
-6.8%
Power Play
50.8% (65)
59.6% (198)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
49.6% (238)
-15.1%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Cozens is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Cozens shoots right. Lindholm is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (371).
Home / Away
Cozens
Lindholm
Home
43.9% (410)
52.3% (771)
Away
47.2% (430)
53.5% (821)
By Period
Cozens
Lindholm
P1
46.4%
50.7%
P2
41.6%
55.3%
P3
49.4%
54.0%
OT
0.0%
29.6%
Final 5 min
46.0%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.6%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 10:43 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 1 | 03:54 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 07:11 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 12:02 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 03:23 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 03:08 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |