Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Lindholm wins 57.8% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.8% vs Draisaitl 56.4% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 81.7%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 57.1%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 73.2%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Lindholm
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
6
(19 meetings)
13
6
Lindholm
Draisaitl
Last 10: Lindholm 7-3 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
2
Lindholm
Draisaitl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
8
3
Lindholm
Draisaitl
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
5
1
Lindholm
Draisaitl
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (722)
55.9% (835)
-1.5%
Power Play
62.2% (164)
61.8% (228)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (83)
50.0% (40)
-0.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Lindholm is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Lindholm shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Draisaitl
Home
55.8% (541)
55.1% (508)
Away
54.7% (428)
58.5% (595)
By Period
Lindholm
Draisaitl
P1
54.8%
55.8%
P2
55.7%
55.7%
P3
55.6%
59.0%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.3%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 08:30 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 08:24 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 00:23 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 12:11 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 11:56 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 04:13 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 11:10 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 11:36 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 05:27 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 04:04 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 05:19 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 03:13 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 19:50 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 13:08 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 06:06 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:26 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |