Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.2% vs 54.3%). Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Lindholm wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.9% vs Draisaitl 54.0% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 63.5%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 76.5%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 58.7%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Lindholm
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Lindholm
Draisaitl
Last 10: Lindholm 6-4 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Lindholm
Draisaitl
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
6
1
Lindholm
Draisaitl
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (937)
53.7% (923)
+1.2%
Power Play
60.4% (265)
56.1% (244)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (172)
58.6% (29)
-9.2%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Lindholm is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,115).
Lindholm shoots right. Draisaitl is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (399).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Draisaitl
Home
54.4% (688)
55.2% (636)
Away
56.1% (686)
53.4% (560)
By Period
Lindholm
Draisaitl
P1
57.2%
50.8%
P2
54.3%
56.6%
P3
54.2%
54.0%
OT
54.5%
67.9%
Final 5 min
54.1%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.2%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 13:20 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 05:02 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 18:39 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 13:31 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 10:37 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 14:35 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 19:59 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 12:50 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 15:49 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 03:47 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 06:38 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 04:02 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 03:53 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |