Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.4% vs 56.9%). Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 16 meetings). Lindholm wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.9% vs Draisaitl 56.5% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 21-14 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 75.5%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 69.1%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 62.2%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Lindholm
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
14
(35 meetings)
21
14
Lindholm
Draisaitl
Last 10: Lindholm 6-4 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
7
7
Lindholm
Draisaitl
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
13
3
Lindholm
Draisaitl
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
4
Lindholm
Draisaitl
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (944)
57.4% (1,010)
-0.1%
Power Play
61.1% (162)
56.2% (331)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (230)
54.5% (110)
-5.4%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Lindholm is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Lindholm shoots right. Draisaitl is 63.0% vs right-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Draisaitl
Home
55.2% (667)
56.4% (734)
Away
57.5% (669)
57.5% (717)
By Period
Lindholm
Draisaitl
P1
54.7%
55.6%
P2
55.5%
62.1%
P3
58.5%
52.4%
OT
64.7%
61.5%
Final 5 min
53.4%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
56.4%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 19:52 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 19:48 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 19:41 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 13:26 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 06:51 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 04:17 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 18:51 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 16:06 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:39 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:17 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 08:50 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 08:40 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 01:08 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 14:16 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 18:04 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 15:05 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 14:18 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 08:59 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |