Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.7% vs 54.9%). Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 14 meetings). Lindholm wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.4% vs Draisaitl 54.6% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 15-12 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 55.1%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 65.8%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 51.1%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Lindholm
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
12
(27 meetings)
15
12
Lindholm
Draisaitl
Last 10: Lindholm 5-5 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
8
6
Lindholm
Draisaitl
14 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Lindholm
Draisaitl
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
2
Lindholm
Draisaitl
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (1,124)
52.4% (974)
+5.3%
Power Play
52.9% (155)
59.5% (373)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (259)
61.0% (123)
-12.4%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Lindholm is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,140).
Lindholm shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (520).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Draisaitl
Home
55.7% (760)
54.5% (778)
Away
55.8% (778)
55.3% (692)
By Period
Lindholm
Draisaitl
P1
53.7%
54.6%
P2
58.3%
56.1%
P3
55.1%
53.3%
OT
59.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.8%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.7%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 15:45 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 15:39 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 07:15 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 06:46 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 01:12 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 19:59 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 19:49 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 12:47 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 09:56 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 06:13 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 12:45 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 11:28 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 19:37 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 16:23 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 16:19 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 04:14 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 01:56 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 19:27 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 16:52 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 12:59 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |