Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.3% vs 53.7%). Lindholm wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.8% vs Paul 52.9% (+0.6%)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 55.2%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 54.1%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 51.6%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Lindholm
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (555)
53.1% (277)
+0.4%
Power Play
61.1% (113)
58.7% (46)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (61)
51.7% (29)
-2.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Lindholm is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (521).
Lindholm shoots right. Paul is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (103).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Paul
Home
55.5% (431)
52.9% (155)
Away
52.7% (298)
54.3% (197)
By Period
Lindholm
Paul
P1
52.3%
55.6%
P2
54.8%
56.7%
P3
56.3%
50.8%
OT
0.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
58.0%
59.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.3%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.5%
53.7%