Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Lindholm wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.9% vs Paul 50.0% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 16-6 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 93.8%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 75.8%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 85.5%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 83.8%
83.8%
16.2%
Lindholm
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
6
(22 meetings)
16
6
Lindholm
Paul
Last 10: Lindholm 7-3 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Lindholm
Paul
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
7
2
Lindholm
Paul
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
6
1
Lindholm
Paul
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (937)
48.8% (666)
+6.1%
Power Play
60.4% (265)
53.8% (65)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (172)
60.0% (55)
-10.6%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Lindholm is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,115).
Lindholm shoots right. Paul is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Paul
Home
54.4% (688)
49.7% (348)
Away
56.1% (686)
50.2% (438)
By Period
Lindholm
Paul
P1
57.2%
51.0%
P2
54.3%
47.4%
P3
54.2%
51.5%
OT
54.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.2%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 11:50 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 05:48 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 02:21 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 10:00 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:55 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 07:31 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 16:27 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 11:54 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 03:02 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 13:01 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 12:53 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 05:34 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 19:08 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 19:01 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 14:07 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 09:22 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 09:07 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:08 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 05:00 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |