Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Lindholm wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.4% vs Paul 53.4% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 66.1%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 61.0%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 61.5%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Lindholm
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Lindholm
Paul
Last 10: Lindholm 5-5 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Paul
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
2
4
Lindholm
Paul
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
1
Lindholm
Paul
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (1,124)
53.8% (753)
+3.9%
Power Play
52.9% (155)
58.9% (90)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (259)
47.4% (78)
+1.2%
On power play, Paul has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Lindholm is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,140).
Lindholm shoots right. Paul is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Paul
Home
55.7% (760)
54.2% (450)
Away
55.8% (778)
53.3% (471)
By Period
Lindholm
Paul
P1
53.7%
58.2%
P2
58.3%
50.6%
P3
55.1%
52.9%
OT
59.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.7%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 18:11 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 17:44 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 13:43 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 18:23 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 04:11 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 16:39 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 16:33 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 07:50 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 01:45 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 17:28 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |