Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.4% vs 52.1%). Look for Paul on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Lindholm wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 51.2% vs Paul 51.7% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 63.4%
Defensive zone
Paul 62.1%
Neutral zone
Paul 52.9%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Lindholm
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
10
(22 meetings)
12
10
Lindholm
Paul
Last 10: Lindholm 5-5 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
7
3
Lindholm
Paul
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
6
Lindholm
Paul
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
5
1
Lindholm
Paul
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (698)
56.2% (274)
-4.9%
Power Play
58.3% (115)
52.9% (17)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (178)
43.4% (129)
+3.8%
On power play, Lindholm has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Lindholm is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Lindholm shoots right. Paul is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (137).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Paul
Home
49.7% (471)
52.3% (235)
Away
52.9% (520)
51.9% (185)
By Period
Lindholm
Paul
P1
53.8%
53.2%
P2
51.4%
53.8%
P3
49.4%
49.3%
OT
37.5%
55.6%
Final 5 min
49.6%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
51.4%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2021 | 3 | 12:45 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| May 9, 2021 | 3 | 00:32 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| May 9, 2021 | 1 | 06:49 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 3 | 04:38 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 2 | 11:04 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 18:38 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 06:15 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 14:00 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 15:37 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 06:01 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 02:27 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 01:57 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 01:46 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 1 | 15:56 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 3 | 16:13 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 3 | 14:47 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 3 | 04:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |