Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 49.3% vs Stastny 55.6% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 66.2%
Defensive zone
Stastny 52.6%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 58.0%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Lindholm
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Lindholm
Stastny
Last 7: Lindholm 2-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
4
Lindholm
Stastny
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (305)
56.5% (967)
-9.3%
Power Play
59.8% (102)
58.4% (125)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
29.6% (27)
50.8% (128)
-21.2%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Lindholm is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Lindholm shoots right. Stastny is 62.2% vs right-shot opponents (455).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Stastny
Home
48.5% (198)
56.8% (590)
Away
49.6% (236)
55.4% (630)
By Period
Lindholm
Stastny
P1
52.8%
59.7%
P2
51.6%
54.8%
P3
44.1%
53.8%
OT
42.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
49.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2016 | 2 | 10:09 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 3 | 06:57 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 2 | 18:04 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 1 | 11:51 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 1 | 08:38 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 1 | 08:33 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |