Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.4% vs Stastny 56.3% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 68.4%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 66.2%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 56.9%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Lindholm
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Lindholm
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Lindholm
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
0
Lindholm
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (1,124)
57.5% (412)
+0.2%
Power Play
52.9% (155)
60.0% (65)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (259)
44.4% (9)
+4.2%
On power play, Stastny has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Lindholm is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,140).
Lindholm shoots right. Stastny is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Stastny
Home
55.7% (760)
58.3% (276)
Away
55.8% (778)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Lindholm
Stastny
P1
53.7%
63.7%
P2
58.3%
57.3%
P3
55.1%
50.4%
Final 5 min
51.8%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.7%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 15:46 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 18:17 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 13:24 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |